Scientists have raised concerns on asteroid 2024 YRR4, stating a large space rock, with the increasing possibility of colliding with Earth in 2032. New York Post,
According to the latest calculations by NASA, the asteroid now has a 2.6 percent effect opportunity – 38 is likely to have 1 – thus reporting the highest risk level submitted so far, reported the publication citing a new scientific report. .
The first discovered in December 2024, YRR4 was initially considered a 1 -in -83 chance to attack the planet. However, as astronomers collected more data, they deteriorated, 1 -in -67 to 1 -in -53, then 1 -in -43, and now related to current figures. The European Space Agency calculation provides a slightly less probability of impact on 2.4 percent.
NASA has designated asteroids as a threat to a level 3 on the torino scale, a system used to classify near the earth objects (NEO) based on their potential risk. Objects rated at this stage make severe observation, as they have one percent or more likely to have a more likely and can cause localized destruction.
The estimated size of YR4 is between 131 and 295 feet in diameter. If this had to strike, scientists estimate that the resulting explosion would highlight the energy equal to the TNT of 8 megatons – 500 times the force of the atomic bomb falling on Hiroshima, independently.
It is reportedly, the estimated path of asteroids puts some of the world’s most densely populated cities in its possible trajectory, including Mumbai and Chennai in India, Lagos in Nigeria and Bogota in Columbia, which keeps risking around 110 million people. Are.
Despite an increase in dangerous possibilities, experts take caution in drawing conclusions. Professor Huga Lewis, an astronaut expert at the University of Southampton, assured that “just because the possibility has increased, it does not mean that it will continue to do so.”
NASA’s Molly L Waser said, saying that YR4 can still be rejected as a threat to an impact, as occurred with other asteroids that are previously considered risky. However, he admitted that further monitoring is important, as the possibility may also increase.
Scientists have limited time to refine their calculations, as YR4 will disappear behind the Sun in April, making it unattainable from Earth by 2028. Meanwhile, astronomers plan to use James web space telescope to analyze infrared emissions of asteroids, allowing them, allowing them. Determine its accurate size and, as a result, potential impact damage.
For now, researchers remain alert, collect as much data as possible to assess whether the Earth can be in severe danger – or if it is yet another astronomical incorrect alarm.
